AUDNZD 2H Chart Analysis โ€“ Trendline Break + Supply Zone Rejecti

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๐Ÿงพ Market Context:
Pair: AUDNZD

Timeframe: 2H (2-Hour)

Overall Bias: Bearish

Setup Type: Trendline Break โ†’ Lower High Formation โ†’ Supply Zone Retest โ†’ Bearish Continuation

๐Ÿ“Š Technical Breakdown:
๐Ÿ”ธ 1. Trendline Break:
A steep ascending trendline has been broken decisively, marking a clear end of bullish structure.

This shift indicates that buyers have lost control and bears are stepping in.

๐Ÿ”ธ 2. Retest of Supply Zone (Breaker Block):
After breaking the trendline, price retraced into a supply zone (highlighted in grey).

This zone also acts as a breaker block โ€“ price broke support, and now itโ€™s acting as resistance.

Rejection from this area confirms institutional selling pressure.

๐Ÿ”ธ 3. Lower High Formation:
The price failed to break back above the supply zone, forming a lower high, which is a classic bearish market structure signal.

Trendline retest + supply zone rejection together give confluence.

๐Ÿ”ธ 4. Bearish Projection Path:
Your chart outlines a clear path of expected price movement:

Minor bounce from intermediate demand (1.0780โ€“1.0790)

Continuation downward toward final target zone at 1.0650โ€“1.0660

๐Ÿ”ฝ Entry & Trade Plan:
Parameter Details
Entry Area 1.0820 โ€“ 1.0840 (confirmed rejection)
Stop Loss Above 1.0855 (above the supply zone high)
Target 1 1.0770 โ€“ 1.0780 (intermediate demand zone)
Target 2 1.0650 โ€“ 1.0660 (major demand zone)
RR Ratio Around 1:3 to 1:4 depending on entry

โœ… Bearish Confluences:
โœ… Trendline break + retest

โœ… Supply zone rejection

โœ… Lower high formation

โœ… Bearish engulfing candle post-retest

โœ… Clear break of structure (BOS)

โœ… Liquidity sweep above previous high before dumping

โš ๏ธ Invalidation Criteria:
If price closes above 1.0855 on a 2H/4H candle, it invalidates the bearish setup.

In that case, reanalyze for potential continuation or false breakout.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Visualization Path:
๐Ÿ”น Current price is consolidating slightly below the retest zone.

๐Ÿ”น You anticipate a drop to intermediate support, possible small bounce, then continuation to major target.

๐Ÿง  Professional Summary:
This is a textbook bearish trend reversal setup:

Break of bullish trendline

Supply zone retest and rejection

Structure shift to lower lows/lower highs

Bearish order flow developing

If momentum follows through, your TP at 1.0650 is very realistic.

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