Nifty Mid_Select IndexHello & welcome to this analysis
From July 2022 to Sep 2024 it appears to have completed an impulse 5 waves up structure forming a Primary Wave 1
From Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 is a corrective ABC wave that has done a 38 Fibonacci retracement.
While it is too early to suggest whether that zigzag fall was a Primary Wave 2 or Wave A of B. The unfolding in the daily time frame suggest the probability of the former and start of a Primary Wave 3.
A weekly close above 13250 would increase the conviction of an impulse wave for probable levels where it could make swing highs along its path at approx 14300, 15000, 18000 & 20000.
Keep in mind where I have plotted Intermediate Wave 3 could also be an expanded Wave B. Therefore, keep an alternate count in hand till it gives more and more confirmation for bullishness.
I am going with the probability of this being a bullish structure as of now
All the best
Elliotwaveanalysis
Apollo Tyres: Navigating the WavesWelcome to RK_Chaarts.
Today, we're analysing the daily time frame chart of Apollo Tyres from Elliott waves perspective. Here, we can clearly see that the intermediate-degree Wave (3) (blue) formed a high around ₹555 in February 2024. After that, an A-B-C corrective pattern unfolded in a 3-3-5 expanded flat structure, which is Wave (4) blue intermediate-degree. We can say that Wave (4) possibly ended at the March 2025 low around ₹370.
Now, we're possibly unfolding Wave (5) in blue of the intermediate degree, which will have five sub-divisions: of minor-degree Waves 1-5 (red). Possibly, Wave 1 (red) has ended, and Wave 2 (red) is currently unfolding. After Wave 2 ends, the price may reverse upwards, forming Wave 3, followed by Wave 4's retracement and then Wave 5's high.
Where can be next possible reversal
On the weekly timeframe, the price is moving within the upper Bollinger Band zone. The weekly 20-Weekly simple moving average (or 20-week simple moving average), which is the mid-Bollinger Band, is around ₹440-₹437. It's possible that Wave 2 will find support around this level and then reverse upward.
Invalidation level
Note that Wave 2 cannot retreat more than 100% of Wave 1, according to wave theory principles. The low of ₹371, where Wave 1 began, is the invalidation level. If the price breaks below this level, it may trigger an invalidation, and we might be looking at a double correction or a double three structure instead.
Projected Targets
However, if the invalidation level holds, the upward movement will likely continue. The projected target for Wave 5 could be around ₹555-₹603, based on the ratio analysis of Waves (3) and (4).
Important Notes
- Breaking below the invalidation level would require re-evaluation of the wave count.
- Sustaining above the invalidation level increases confidence in the projected target.
Let's see how the market unfolds. This entire study is shared solely for educational purposes. Thank you so much.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Nifty - Elliot Wave UpdateNifty has been testing patience and not letting anyone take positional trades since mid of May.
24500 has acted as a crucial support - and as we come to re-test it today for the 3rd time, I thought of updating the view after my last post on May 15th, as we have a good RR long trade here.
We had two alternates:
1. We are in 5th up/ which got done, is about to be done. In this case we head down to 23500 or so and then we review if this bounce was corrective or we are going to ATH.
2. We did 1 and 2 and have started 3 up. Within 3 we started the 3rd up today. If this is true, the run up should continue for next few days.
Now, possibility 2 remains as it is, but possibility 1 has changed to look like a leading diagonal.
So, instead of 12345 (where 1 and 4 cannot overlap), we are moving up in ABCDE (where A and D can overlap).
My view is that we have E up pending - and since we have taken so much time in D, more room is getting opened in E up (top of the wedge structure) - which was 25300 earlier, and is now looking at around 25700 - which is a good 1200 points from here.
This move up will also test the bottom of the longer channel we followed from March 2023 and broke in Jan 2025. So, a first test of that channel would mark as a good point for wave 1 to end and a correction to begin till 24000-23800.
24500 breaking and sustaining should act as SL. So, we have a good trade set-up at hand to play till 25500 or 5 wave up, whichever happens first
All the best!
TTML: Unlocking Potential with Elliott WavesHello friends, Welcome to RK Chaarts.!
Let’s analyse the chart of Tata Teleservices Maharashtra Limited from an Elliott wave perspective.
We can see that in March 2023, the stock formed a bottom around 49.65 and then moved upwards in an impulse wave. We can identify wave one as complete, ending around the July 2024 high.
After that, there was a sudden fall to the April 2025 low, which we assume to be the end of wave two. We expected it to reverse around the previous low, because wave II cannot retrace more than 100% of wave I (Elliott wave principles), and Same happened, it had reversed from that low to upside.
Looking at the weekly chart, we can see that post wave II, price has broken the 0-B trend line with strong volume intensity. If our wave counts are correct, we can measure wave I and project wave III’s target using Trend based Fib extensions as per Elliott wave theory.
According to the theory, wave III target could be around 150.70, which is 1.618 times the length of wave I.
Projected Targets as per Elliott waves:
So, friends, from an Elliott wave perspective, Tata Teleservices has strong potential to move upwards to around 150 rupees, with potential targets at 88, 112, 127, and 150 rupees.
Invalidation levels:
Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and involves multiple possibilities. The scenario presented focuses on one potential outcome, assuming the invalidation level of 49.65 is not triggered. If it is triggered, the chart would need to be reassessed, and wave counts would need to be reevaluated.
This is not a tip or advisory, but rather a educational analysis.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
JIO FINANCIAL SERVICESHello & welcome to this analysis
The decline from May 2024 till Mar 2025 appears to be an Elliott Wave corrective ABC that went on to make its all time lows breaking the previous one made in Oct 2023.
The rally in Mar 2025 was a Leading Diagonal Impulse Wave 1
It was followed by Wave 2 - a corrective ABC which did a 88% retracement giving a double bottom in early April 2025.
From there started the strongest & most reliable Elliott Wave - 3 that lasted the full month of April 2025.
Since Wave 2 was deep the corrective Wave 4 did a zigzag and ended quickly mid May 2025.
The terminal wave 5 of the larger Wave I is coming to an end around 275 - 280.
This could lead to another round of corrective ABC which could be the larger Wave II in the making. Likely levels till where it could retrace its formation could be 255 at least, 240 probable & 205 hopefully maximum. Anything below Mar 2025 lows will make the Impulse wave rise as invalid.
On the other hand, if the current wave continues to sustain beyond 285-290 then it could be unfolding a Wave 3 extension that could lead to much higher levels.
Conclusion
For buyers - wait for it to sustain above 285-290 to add, else wait for a dip to 255 - 240 and then review
For sellers - between 275-280 wait for a bearish candle follow through keeping 285-290 as a stop loss.
All the best
EURUSD Chart Analysis : An Elliott Wave Approach Hello friends, welcome to RK Charts!
Today, we'll analyse the EURUSD chart using Elliot Waves. This study is based on Elliot Wave theory and structure, which enables multiple possibilities. Please note that the possibilities outlined here are not definitive predictions, but rather potential scenarios.
The provided information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice. There is a risk of being completely wrong, and users are warned not to trade or invest solely based on this study.
We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Now, let's dive into the analysis. According to Elliot Wave principles, we're currently in a corrective pattern, which consists of ((A)), ((B)) and ((C)) patterns. We've completed ((A)) and ((B)) and are now unfolding ((C)).
Within ((C)) we expect five sub-divisions, labeled as intermediate waves (blue bracketed): blue (1), (2), (3), (4) & (5). Almost four of these sub-divisions are completed, and we've just begun the (5).
We've set an invalidation point at 1.1065, which is the recent low. If this low is not breached, we'll likely continue unfolding the (5) wave of ((C)), which should break above the high of wave (3).
However, if the low is breached, it's possible that wave (4) is undergoing a double correction.
Both scenarios are possible, and we'll continue to monitor the market's unfold.
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
This study is a deep dive into Elliot Wave counts, aligned with the rules and principles of Elliot Wave theory, as well as higher time frame and higher degree analysis.
I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Bearish short-term strategy for XAUUSDShort-term Elliott wave 4th should be 382% of wave 3, and the price is finding resistance at this level. From here, XAUUSD finds a downside target of $3141 as the 5th wave finishes this entire wave pattern.
This pattern invalidates if the price breaks the resistance of $3186.50 and entire elliot wave invalidates if it crosses above low of 1st wave.
SPX/ NDX/ DJI - Elliot Wave - Change in CountsI have expected May 8th as the top of the pullback in this post:
However, it seems that there were more legs pending.
View still remains that this is a counter trend rally, and we will eventually head down again.
We are in 3rd of C and we will get another move up in 5th, which should mark the end of the entire leg up.
If I am invested in US markets - I would use this rally to book profits!
View is similar in Nasdaq and DJI, so not sharing those charts again. :)
All the best!
Nifty - Elliot Wave Update So, thankfully we have been aligning are views with the market and reviewing counts at the right time. Lucky much? :)
On May 2nd - We caught the top, when the breakout didn't look convincing
We got a good correction (Correction was even better in stocks) and booked out at around 24k on May 9th, and changed views, again as the fall wasn't as bad as it was expected after the end of 5th. Hence, it made sense to expect a 5th up.
This change in view helped us ride a good move of +1000 points in Nifty and multiple +10% moves in stocks (crazy moves there).
Now, while the view shared on May 9th still remains valid, there's an even more bullish view possible.
Ideally, I should have waited for more clarity, but thought that someone shouldn't book out of positions, if it's actually that.
So, there are two scenarios:
1. We are in 5th up/ which got done, is about to be done. In this case we head down to 23500 or so and then we review if this bounce was corrective or we are going to ATH.
2. We did 1 and 2 and have started 3 up. Within 3 we started the 3rd up today. If this is true, the run up should continue for next few days.
How to decide, I am keeping 61.8% of today's move as a deciding factor. So, if we come back to 24700, I'll be out of longs - will even book cash trades and wait for clarity to re-enter.
P.S.: You must be wondering, what the two Orange circles denote - Well they are for reminding me that this price action can be a trap, as it has happened in past. :D
Though looking at set-ups in stocks and the way they are moving after clearly defining a base - I am quite confident that the low has been made for this correction.
As usual, important to track closely and be nimble to change the view and humble to accept mistakes :)
All the best!
NIFTY ITHello & welcome to this analysis
NIFTY IT (CNXIT) appears to have completed in
Monthly from 2016 lows an impulse 5 waves up
Weekly shows a running flat wave 4 followed by sub waves of the terminal 5th wave
Daily indicates post the impulse an ABC corrective ended (ending)
is this A of abc down after a monthly 5 up or is it wave 2 complete with this ABC?
It is too early to say the latter. Normally the corrective tends to retest the start of the preceding sub wave 4 that is around 31000 but that is not mandatory as per Elliott Wave rules.
An early indication of which wave is unfolding will depend on how the sub waves come out now, either they will be corrective, then it would be B of abc or they will be impulse then wave 2 has ended and index is into Wave 3.
Interesting days ahead for IT index
All the best
Banknifty combining Elliott and wedge theoryBanknifty is repeating the wedge pattern, in confluence with Elliott waves falling exactly at the prices of support and resistance of the wedges.
The Elliott wave used here is the in-built indicator of Tradingview. According to this, the 4th wave is finished and the price is projected to break out of the upper line of the wedge for a new high at 56864 as 61.8%
As per the current price action, the price is at the support of the 2024 high, 54467.35. If it is breached, it will test the lower line of the wedge, and we will have another early buying opportunity at the support.
The RSI is still above 50; therefore, the 2024 high level is proving to be good support. No selling is suggested unless the price is trading above this support level of 54467.35.
Silver MCX - Elliot Wave Counts - Long TradeSilver lagged Gold in the entire run up through the year
However, in last week Silver held quite well, while Gold has been correcting.
It seems like weekly Wave 4 is done and 1,2 of Wave 5 are done.
Wave 3 - targets 1.1L, 1.15L. Wave 5 targets + 1.2L
All the best!
Another Possible Elliott Wave counting of GoldCounting 2:
Here, after an impulse, a Zig-zag correction is formed (marked in red ABC)
Here, I have assumed that this is just point (A) of further correction (in blue colour).
Then the price has gone to form wave (B), and currently the market is in wave (C).
This correction will complete near 61.8% (near 3164 level). And from here, a new impulse will start.
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci study.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Nifty - Elliot Wave - Alternate counts - Bullish ScenarioI called a top on May 2nd as the buying looked like a trap - which usually acts as a good end of a trend move.
It worked out quite well, but we didn't get a selling momentum, that I expected.
So, contemplating if we are still in 4th and there's another leg up pending, which should be:
1. Bearish scenario - C of X - Y down should take us to new lows
2. Bullish Scenario - 1 of 5 (weekly) - We should have a 2 and then head up in waves 3 and 5 to 27-30k.
It's a tricky position to be in.
Plan: Keep position light and let the 5th up complete. In both bullish and bearish scenarios, we'll get a good retracement from there - Min 23500 (in 2) and can go till 21500 - 20500 in Y.
Ride the leg down and then take a call if it's bottoming out earlier or we are heading down?
For the time being, I have booked all of my shorts and awaiting clarity.
Cheers - All the best!
Nifty - Elliot Wave Analysis - Short Opportunity!We have had a good run-up from April lows. Today's buying seems like the last leg up which should end 5th up.
Now there are two possibilities:
1. Bullish Scenario: Nifty has completed correction in April first week and we have done Wave 1 in an impulse of 5 waves up. In this case we should retrace 38-50% of the move from April lows. So, expect 500-1000 points in Wave 2.
2. Bearish Scenario: The entire move up from April lows was corrective and part of larger X. X is formed by ABC where C is 5 waves up - i.e. the move from April first week lows.
If this is the case, then we head to new low in Y. 21500 or lower.
In both cases this is the time to initiate shorts and ride at least 500 points the move down. All the best!
GBP/USD at a Turning Point – Correction Pattern in PlayIt appears that the corrective Wave A in the GBP/USD pair is nearing completion, and the formation of Wave B may be underway. The Wave 1 to 5 structure seems to have been completed, indicating the beginning of an A-B-C corrective phase.
If the correction unfolds as expected, potential upside targets are 1.32918 and 1.33555. However, if the market faces rejection below the trendline, the stop-loss level would be 1.32021.
#Nifty Investors who missed post covid Rally - Time is Now !!!Nifty set for a massive rally as per wave theory.
Chartical representation of my morning market view.
It formed triple correction pattern,
W,XY,Z
As index failed to close above 23800 (Wave X) in last rise started from 21964 levels, wave z is last phase of correction.
Watchout for trend change on daily charts in coming days which would leqd to a strong counter trend rally equal to the intensity of this fall.
🤞🤞🤞
BDL | Long | Swing Setup | Wave AnalysisBDL is either in Wave C of abc
or Wave 3 of 1-5 as shown in chart
both cases suggest a bullish up-move towards target one in case of wave C and towards target 2 in case of wave 3.
SL would be 1090- 1130 zone. If looks weak in this zone we will exit.
Increasing volume suggests a good momentum long setup.
Just my 0.02$