Gold comex weekly levels until 3250 not break sell on rise How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 15.1% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 22.5% to 24.5% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 15.1% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 22.5.4% to 24.5% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 36.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 52.5%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection ).
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 15.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Futures market
CRUDE mcx weekly support and resistance buy on dip at support How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 15.1% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 22.5% to 24.5% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 15.1% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 22.5.4% to 24.5% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 36.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 52.5%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection ).
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 15.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Crude weekly levels buy on dip @support book profit resistance How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 15.1% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 22.5% to 24.5% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 15.1% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 22.5.4% to 24.5% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 36.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 52.5%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection ).
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 15.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Silver’s Shiny Coil: Why XAG / USD Looks Poised for a Break-HighMarkets have a knack for testing our patience. Silver (XAG / USD) has been no exception—oscillating between euphoria and despair for the better part of a year—yet, beneath the noise, the metal is quietly assembling a bullish springboard. Grab a coffee and walk with me through the daily chart to see why the odds favor another run into the mid-$30s.
1. Big-Picture Pulse: A Bull Above Its Lifeline
The first thing my eyes lock onto is the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). It’s rising, and price has respected it since late-March 2024. Think of that SMA as silver’s life-support line: trade above it and the market is healthy; fall beneath it and the patient is suddenly critical. Today, the 200-day sits at $31.35—a level price kissed only days ago before bouncing. Score one for the bulls.
2. Mapping the Battlefield: Support and Resistance Zones
Charts are stories told in shades of supply (where sellers lurk) and demand (where buyers ambush). On this chart those zones are color-coded:
Zone Price Band Storyline
Green #1 $30.9 – $31.7 Last month’s accumulation shelf, perfectly overlapped by the 200-day SMA. The market’s “do-not-break” level.
Green #2 $28.9 – $29.8 March breakout base—our parachute if the first shelf fails.
Green #3 $25.8 – $26.8 2023–24 launchpad; relevant only if the trend truly unravels.
Red $34.8 – $36.0 2021 swing-high cluster. History says sellers take profit here.
These bands aren’t just pretty rectangles. They are where the emotional tug-of-war is won or lost.
3. The Coil: Price Action Whispers
Zoom in on the most recent candles: three consecutive higher lows and shrinking daily ranges. That’s a coil—energy compressing like a spring on top of the blue horizontal line at $31.7. Coils don’t last; they explode. Because this one sits above major support, probability tilts toward an upward pop.
A bonus clue: the Supertrend (10,2) indicator is still printed in green. It flips red only on a close below $31.5, telling us momentum remains on the buy side.
4. Turning Insight into a Trade
No analysis is complete without answering, “So what?” Here’s a swing setup that converts the chart narrative into numbers:
Element Level Why There
Entry $32.20 – $32.40 We’re stepping in while price coils—close to support, far from resistance.
Stop-loss $30.95 Below Green #1 and the 200-day. If we’re wrong, get out fast.
Target 1 $34.80 Bottom edge of the red supply zone—the first logical cash-out.
Target 2 $35.90 Top of that zone and 2021’s high-water mark.
Risk: $1.35 per ounce
Reward to T1: $2.50 → ~1 : 1.9
Reward to T2: $3.60 → ~1 : 2.7
Those are odds any trader can live with.
5. Trade Management—Because Markets Improvise
Daily close audit – A settle beneath the 200-day and a red Supertrend is a cue to exit, no questions asked.
Scale and trail – Bank half at $34.8, slide the stop to breakeven, and let the rest hunt $35.9.
Time stop – Ten sleepy sessions under $33.2? Close it. Opportunities shouldn’t loiter.
Beware of short-term bull trapsOn the H4 chart, gold is testing an important resistance zone around EMA89 (purple) after a rebound from the bottom of 3,120. However, both EMA34 and EMA89 are sloping down, indicating that the short-term trend is still bearish. The current rebound is not strong enough to confirm a reversal.
The most recent candle also has a long upper shadow, indicating that selling pressure is waiting above. If the price is rejected at the 3,250–3,260 zone and turns around to break down to 3,220, there is a high possibility that gold will retest the old bottom around 3,120.
The strategy at this time is to stay out or wait to sell lightly if a clear reversal signal appears near the resistance zone. Avoid FOMO because the rebound has not been confirmed by volume or trend structure.
GOLD/USD Breakout Watch – 15-Min Chart
📈 Structure forming... Big move loading?
Gold is currently forming a bullish pennant right after a sharp move up this usually signals continuation in the same direction.
Key highlights:
🔹 Price is consolidating in a triangle after breaking above the 3,240 zone.
🔹 Breakout projection suggests a move of +46 points, targeting the 3,288 level.
🔹 Immediate support sits around 3,250–3,252. If price retests and holds this zone, buyers may step in again.
🔹 Beyond 3,288, bulls may aim for 3,322 and even 3,334 if momentum picks up.
📌 Plan:
Wait for a breakout + retest of the triangle. If the zone holds, there could be a clean push higher.
What’s your bias bullish or bearish from here? Drop your thoughts.
#Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #Breakout #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #DayTrading
Gold Accumulates Bullish Momentum Above $3230, Heading for $3280.Dollar weakness supports Gold Upmove.
.Immediate hurdle $3250
.Next Challenge 4 Hourly 100 SMA $3280
.Major Resistance descending channel trendline $3380
.Support Zone $3215-$3200 & $3190
Gold continues to attract buyers on dips as the weakness in the greenback keeps safe haven demand for the yellow metal intact.
As bulls successfully reclaimed the psychological mark $3200 and established support at local demand zone $3215, the metal witnesses further attempts at 4 hourly 50 EMA $3242 above which immediate hurdle sits at $3250.
If Gold finds enough buying momentum and clears through $3250, we expect next upsde reaching mid range $3265 above which further extension comes for $3280
A strong push followed by a Daily close above this $3280 will ease the way to major resistance at descending channel resistance $3380
All this while, any retracement towards local demand area $3230-$3215 will be closely monitored by bulls as break below this zone will extend decline to $3200 below which next support sits at $3190
Gold Technical Analysis, May 19📊Affected by Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating over the weekend, the market's risk aversion sentiment has heated up. Gold opened higher today and quickly rose to the 3250 line, showing strong bullish momentum.
📊Although the gold price closed with a long lower shadow last week, indicating that the divergence between bulls and bears has intensified, it is still in an upward trend dominated by bulls as a whole, and the long-term bull market structure has not been destroyed. The current trend is a technical correction in high-level fluctuations, and it is expected to continue to strengthen after stepping back to confirm support.
📊After receiving support near the trend line, the gold price stabilized and rebounded, and the K-line pattern was gradually repaired; the suppression of the moving average system weakened, and the price returned to the top of the moving average group; the MACD indicator formed a golden cross at a low level, and the red column kinetic energy continued to be released, and the rebound is expected to continue in the short term.
📊The short-term trend is strong. The gold price retreated to above the 3200 mark in the early trading and stabilized. It has now launched a second attack. The early high of 3250 became the first short-term resistance level. If the price of gold effectively breaks through this level during the European and American sessions, it is expected that the price of gold will further rise to test the 3265-3270 area, and the extreme target may be around 3290.
🔴Resistance level 1: 3247-3250
🔴Resistance level 2: 3265-3270
🔴Resistance level 3: 3285-3290
🟢Support level 1: 3210-3207
🟢Support level 2: 3185-3180
✅Intraday trading strategy
🔶Long Strategy
✅Entry Conditions: The price falls back to 3210-3207 area and stabilizes, or breaks through 3250 and then falls back to confirm (such as standing above 3245).
🔰Target: The first target is 3250 (the high point in the early trading), and the second target is 3265-3270. A strong breakthrough of 3270 can reach 3285-3290.
⛔Stop Loss: If you go long at 3210-3207, the stop loss is set below 3195; the stop loss for the breakthrough order is set below 3235.
🔷Short Strategy
✅Entry Conditions: The price first touches the 3285-3290 area and stagnates.
🔰Target: 3250-3245 (short-term retracement level).
⛔Stop Loss: Above 3300 (to prevent a strong breakthrough).
✅Trading strategies are time-sensitive. We will provide VIP members with real-time and accurate trading strategies based on market changes. Short-term trading requires flexibility, timely adjustment of positions, strict risk control, and ensuring that you are not affected by large fluctuations.
XAU USD Weekly analysis (18-05-25 to 24-05-25)📈 GOLD 4H Chart Update – May 20–24 Outlook
🔹 Symbol: XAU/USD
🔹 Timeframe: 4H
🔹 Current Price: $3,238.97
🔹 Published by: JOY-OF-RISK-TARGET-ONE-WAVE
🔹 Bullish Move Projected Towards: $3,280–$3,300
🟢 Market Snapshot:
🕯️ Price Action is bouncing from $3,160–$3,180 zone with strong bullish momentum.
📈 Chart shows a clear bullish impulse forming after May 16th — targeting the $3,280–$3,300 supply zone.
📊 Confirmation of demand re-entry and possible trend reversal.
🎯 Trade Plan:
Buy on retracement: $3,220–$3,230
Target Levels:
• TP1: $3,260
• TP2: $3,280
• TP3: $3,300
Stop-Loss: Below $3,180
⚠️ Risk Note:
If GOLD loses the $3,180 level again, this bullish setup may become invalid.
📅 This Week’s Bias: Bullish
🧭 Let the wave unfold — plan, wait, execute.
Gold Holding Above 3200… But Is the Rebound Real?Gold followed through on our previous expectation, bouncing from the 3140–3160 support zone after briefly tagging a low near 3120. From there, bulls regained some control and managed to reclaim the 3200 level, which we’ve been watching closely. Although last week’s close was above 3200, I still consider this move a corrective bounce, not a confirmed reversal.
The key level I’m watching now is 3282, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent decline from 3440 to 3120. Until price decisively closes above this zone, I’ll continue to treat this as a pullback within a broader correection/downtrend and hold onto a portion of my short positions.
If bulls manage to break and hold above 3282, we could start seeing signs of a short-term trend shift toward higher resistance zones like 3350 or beyond. However, as long as price stays below 3282, the risk remains for another move back below 3200 and if that happens, a revisit of the 3140–3120 support zone is very much on the table. and if that support break, our previous bearish targets come back into focus.
So for now, I’m still leaning toward downside continuation unless the market proves otherwise by reclaiming key resistance with strength.
GOLD DAILY PLAN MAY 19: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH GOLD DAILY PLAN – MAY 20: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH RUN?
Gold opened the new trading week with a powerful GAP UP of over 20 USD, followed by an additional 50 USD rally during the Asia session. This explosive move is being fueled by geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty, setting the tone for what could be a highly volatile and profitable week for gold traders.
🔥 Key Fundamental Drivers Behind This Gold Rally:
1️⃣ Putin rejects peace talks – Increased war risks reignite gold’s safe-haven appeal.
2️⃣ U.S. credit rating downgraded – Rising debt and bond yields are pushing investors back to gold.
3️⃣ Trump threatens new trade tariffs – Even a softer version of “Trade War 2.0” could shock global markets, making gold a top hedge.
➡️ With no clear resolutions in sight, gold may soon retest the all-time high of $3,500.
🧠 Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Are Confirming
EMA13 has crossed above EMA34 and EMA200 on the M30 chart — a classic reversal confirmation.
The main trendline was broken, and price is now retesting the breakout zone.
Momentum remains strong, and price structure is shifting bullish. Priority is now to BUY the dips rather than sell counter-trend.
📌 Key Price Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance Zones:
3254 – 3277 – 3288
(If price breaks above 3287, we may quickly see a move toward 3350–3500.)
🔻 Support Zones:
3204 – 3193 – 3186 – 3174 – 3163
(Best areas to watch for confirmation to BUY.)
🎯 Suggested Trade Ideas:
BUY Zone: 3186 - 3184
Stop-Loss (SL): 3180
Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230
BUY Scalp: 3194 - 3192
Stop-loss: 3189
Take-Profit: 3200 - 3204 - 3210 - 3215 - 3220
SELL Zone: 3287 - 3289 Only scalp or take quick profits near resistance zones
Stop-Loss (SL): 3293
Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270
(Note: Avoid holding SELLs, only scalp on strong bearish signals.)
⚠️ Trading Notes:
Market is highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines. One comment from Trump or Putin could move gold 50–100 USD in minutes.
No need to chase price. Let it come to your zones — and only enter on clear confirmations.
📌 Summary:
✅ Structure has turned bullish across M30 and H4.
✅ Focus on buying dips, not shorting into strength.
✅ Medium-term target zones: 3350 → 3400 → 3500, depending on continued macro pressure.
📣 Follow AD for live trading plans, market sentiment, and smart entry zones every session!
Good luck & stay disciplined.
XAUUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
XAUUSD Bearish Setup with Key Entry, Stop Loss & Target LevelEntry Point: $3,235.94
Stop Loss: $3,235.94 (above current price, suggesting a SELL trade)
Target Points:
EA Target Point (Downside): $2,974.71 (Short target)
EA Target Point (Upside): $3,505.03 (Long target — likely alternate scenario)
Resistance Level: $3,121.49
Nearby Support Zone: Around $3,000–$2,975
📉 Trade Strategy Implied
This appears to be a short position setup:
Sell at: ~$3,220–$3,235
Stop Loss: $3,235.94
Take Profit: $2,974.71
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3 (very favorable setup if thesis holds)
The upside target ($3,505.03) might be for a different scenario — if price reverses and breaks above resistance.
🧠 Market Structure Observations
Trend: A bearish break from a previous ascending channel.
Momentum: Price has bounced slightly after hitting support, but the moving averages suggest bearish momentum may persist.
Key Risk: If price breaks above $3,236 convincingly, it could invalidate the short setup and trigger a bullish run.
📌 Summary
Bias: Bearish (based on current setup)
Setup: Short with tight stop above resistance
Confirmation Needed: Watch for rejection at the $3,220–$3,236 zone and a breakdown below $3,200 for follow-through.
Gold Trading Strategy For Next Monday📊Gold fluctuated violently on Thursday and Friday this week, with the market showing a fluctuating pattern of sharp rises and falls for two consecutive days, and the difficulty of trading increased significantly. In particular, the strong rise on Thursday and the rapid give-up of gains on Friday caused both bulls and bears to suffer repeated torture in the short term. The rhythm of the current market has changed, showing the characteristics of "no continuation every other day and lack of entry opportunities during the trading session", and more cautious operations are required.
1. Market Review and Technical Structure Analysis
📊On Friday, gold continued to fall sharply after hitting Thursday's high of 3252, with the daily line closing with a large real negative line, a drop of nearly $100, and fell to 3152 to stabilize. This position is exactly the 0.786 retracement of the previous 3120-3250 increase, and the technical support effect is evident.
📊On the hourly chart, the continuous rise of positive lines on Thursday showed obvious bullish trend momentum, while on Friday, a continuous oscillation and decline pattern was formed, showing a typical V-shaped reversal-top-building and decline trend. At present, the price of gold has fallen to the vicinity of the lower track of the previous channel and has gained initial support in the area of 3152. There is a high probability that there will be a second bottoming process in the future, and it may even set a new low to form a "secondary low point" to test the strength of buying.
2. Analysis of key technical prices
🔴The upper resistance level: 3230-3250, which is the previous high pressure zone. If the short-term bulls cannot stand above this range, it will be difficult to reopen the upward space. The 3210-3212 line below it is an important short-term counter-pressure position. If the rebound is blocked here, it will continue to confirm that the shock pattern has not been broken.
🟢Support below: 3150-3120, of which: 3152 is the 0.786 retracement level, which is also the key support point in the previous period; 3140-3120 is the support range of the lower track of the channel. If it effectively falls below this area, it will open up further room for decline to 3080-3050.
3. Market trends and trading strategies next week
🟠Main idea: Treat it as range oscillation, mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by short on rebounds.
🔶Short-term long order strategy:
🔰If the gold price falls back to the 3150-3140 area and stabilizes, you can consider entering long orders at a low level;
🔰Conservatives can wait for the gold price to confirm that it is above 3153 before entering the market;
🔰Stop loss is recommended to be set below 3142. This position is a key defensive position. If it is lost three times, it will no longer be a bottom-fishing.
🔷Short-term short order strategy:
🔰If the gold price rebounds to 3210-3212 or 3230-3250 and encounters resistance, you can try to short with a light position;
Note that short positions are only used as a means of game play at the top of the shock, and be careful of "forced short pull-up" during the rebound.
🔰The mid-term thinking remains unchanged: the mid-term long positions deployed in the 3120-3140 line in the early stage continue to be held, and the target is still the 3250-3280 line.
✅The current trend of gold shows a typical wide range of fluctuations, with the main rhythm being high selling and low buying between 3120-3250. The risk of chasing ups and downs in the day or in the short term is relatively high, and it is recommended to wait for the confirmation signal of returning to the key position. In terms of technical structure, pay attention to whether there is a "secondary low point confirmation". If the 3150-3140 area is effectively supported, it is still expected to rebound and test the high point; otherwise, it is necessary to guard against the risk of breaking down.